endoself comments on Subjective Relativity, Time Dilation and Divergence - Less Wrong

14 Post author: jacob_cannell 11 February 2011 07:50AM

You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.

Comments (95)

You are viewing a single comment's thread. Show more comments above.

Comment author: endoself 14 February 2011 05:21:42AM *  0 points [-]

The idea that there is no overall change in complexity over time is just another model, and it clearly fails all postdictions and makes nonsensical short-term predictions.

I never said that there is no change in complexity over time; I just said that some trends in technological growth, such as Moore's law, will stop too soon for your predictions to work.

You are saying that the singularity is a breakdown of our models rather than a literally infinite rate of grouwth, but earlier you said

Why should exponential acceleration ever peter out? It's the overall mega-pattern over all of history to date.

and

If you plot it in terms of economic growth, computational growth or just complexity growth, the overall trend of the cosmic calendar is geometric - it ends with an infinity/singularity. I take this as general evidence against acceleration ever ending.

Those were the things that seemed death-spirally to me, but they also seem to contradict what you are saying now. What am I misunderstanding?