Johnicholas comments on Some Heuristics for Evaluating the Soundness of the Academic Mainstream in Unfamiliar Fields - Less Wrong

73 Post author: Vladimir_M 15 February 2011 09:17AM

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Comment author: komponisto 22 February 2011 10:29:06PM *  4 points [-]

Your claim that all mathematicians somehow have accurate intuitions about what will eventually turn out to be useful is dubious. Mathematicians are human, and information about the world has to ultimately come from the world.

Adding the quantifier "all" is an unfair rhetorical move, of course; but anyway, here we come to the essence of it: you simply do not see the relationship between the thoughts of mathematicians and "the world". Sure, you'll concede the usefulness of negative numbers, calculus, and maybe (some parts of) number theory now, in retrospect, after existing technologies have already hit you over the head with it; but when it comes to today's mathematics, well, that's just too abstract to be useful.

Do you think you would have correctly predicted, as a peasant in the 1670s, the technological uses of calculus? I'm not even sure Newton or Leibniz would have.

Human brains are part of the world; information that comes from human thought is information about the world. Mathematicians, furthermore, are not just any humans; they are humans specifically selected for deriving pleasure from powerful insights.

Earlier I suggested "computations", that is, mechanical manipulations of relatively concrete mathematical entities, as the path for information from the world to inform mathematician's intuitions. However, mathematicians rarely publish the computations motivating their results, which is the whole point that I'm trying to make.

Every proof in a mathematics paper is shorthand for a formal proof, which is nothing but a computation. The reason these computations aren't published is that they would be extremely long and very difficult to read.

Comment author: Johnicholas 23 February 2011 01:55:48AM *  1 point [-]

I think we've both made our positions clear; harvesting links from earlier in this thread, I think my worry that mathematics might become too specialized is perennial:

Regarding the distinction between computation and proving, I was attempting to distinguish between mechanical computation (such as reducing an expression by applying a well-known set of reduction rules to it) and proving, which (for humans) is often creative and does not feel mechanical.

By "the computations motivating their results", I mean something like Experimental Mathematics: http://www.experimentalmath.info/

Comment author: komponisto 23 February 2011 12:31:43PM 3 points [-]

I think we've both made our positions clear; harvesting links from earlier in this thread, I think my worry that mathematics might become too specialized is perennial:

The issue here is about the "usefulness" of mathematical research, and its relationship to the physical world; not whether it is too "specialized". Far from adding clarity on the intellectual matter at hand, those links merely suggest that what's motivating your remarks here is an attitude of dissatisfaction with the mathematical profession that you've picked up from reading the writings of disgruntled contrarians. They may have good points to make on the sociology of mathematics, but that's not what's at issue here. Your complaint wasn't that mathematicians don't follow each other's work because they're too absorbed in their own (which is the phenomenon that Zeilberger and Tilly complain about); it was that the relationship between modern mathematics and "the world" is too tenuous or indirect for your liking. On that, only the Von Neumann quote (discussed here before) is relevant; and the position expressed therein strikes me as considerably more nuanced than yours (which seems to me to be obtainable from the Von Neumann quote by deleting everything between "l'art pour l'art" and "whenever this stage is reached").

As for computation: if your concern was the ultimate empirical "grounding" of mathematical results, the fact that all mathematical proofs can in principle be mechanically verified (and hence all mathematical claims are "about" the behavior of computational machines) answers that. Otherwise, you're talking about matters of taste regarding areas and styles of mathematics.

Comment author: Johnicholas 23 February 2011 02:15:55PM 0 points [-]

The inferential chain is: too specialized leads to small cliques of peers who can review your work, which allows mutual admiration societies to start up and survive, which leads to ungroundedness, which leads to irrelevance.

Again, your claim that I think the relationship between modern mathematics in the world is too indirect is simply putting words in my mouth. I have no difficulty with indirect or long chains of relevance; my problem is with "mathematics for mathematics sake", particularly if it is non-auditable by outsiders. Would you fund "quilting for quiltings sake", if the quilt designs were impractically large and never actually finished or used to warm or decorate?

Here is a way that I think our positions could be reconciled: If there were studies on the "spin offs" of funding mathematicians to pursue their intuitions (deciding who is a mathematician based on some criterion perhaps a degree in mathematics and/or a Putnam-like test), then citing those studies would be sufficient for my purposes. I believe this is far less restrictive than current grants, which (as you say) demand the grant-writer to confabulate very specific applications; graph theory funded by sifting social networks for terrorists, for example.

Comment author: NancyLebovitz 25 February 2011 01:30:15PM 2 points [-]

Non-functional art quilting

Found while looking for the first link, and included for pretty

I think the crucial thing is not so much demonstrating that there might be some use for some not-obviously useful math-- I doubt there's any way to do that usefully in the short run. An accurate answer can't be known for any but the most obvious cases, and just making up something that sounds vaguely plausible is all too easy, especially if money is riding on the answer.

Instead, I recommend working on understanding the process by which uses are found for pure math, and, if it makes sense, cultivating that process.

Comment author: komponisto 23 February 2011 07:59:39PM 2 points [-]

The inferential chain is: too specialized leads to small cliques of peers who can review your work, which allows mutual admiration societies to start up and survive, which leads to ungroundedness, which leads to irrelevance

The non-sequitur occurs in the third step (or possibly the second, depending on what you've built into the meaning of "mutual admiration society"). The "mutual admiration" in question is based largely, even mostly, on the work that people do within the clique, and not simply on membership. Both within and between cliques, "relevance" is regulated by the mechanism of status: those mathematicians (and cliques) working on subjects that the smartest mathematicians find interesting (which, as I've argued, is the appropriate test for "relevance" in this context) will tend to rise in status, while areas where "important" problems are exhausted will likewise lose prestige. This doesn't work perfectly, and there is some random noise involved, of course, but in the aggregate statistical sense, this is basically how it works. Contrary to the conventional cynical wisdom, the prestige of mathematical topics does not drift randomly like clothing fashion (unless the latter has patterns that I don't know about), but is instead correlated with (ultimate) usefulness by means of interestingness.

Again, your claim that I think the relationship between modern mathematics in the world is too indirect is simply putting words in my mouth.

It's already easy to trace the intellectual ancestry of any mathematics paper all the way back to counting: you simply identify the branch of mathematics that it's in, look up that branch in Wikipedia, and click a few times. So what else do you mean by "groundedness", if not that subjects which are fewer inferential steps away from counting are more "grounded" than subjects which are more steps away?

my problem is with "mathematics for mathematics sake", particularly if it is non-auditable by outsiders. Would you fund "quilting for quiltings sake", if the quilt designs were impractically large and never actually finished or used to warm or decorate?

I still don't understand why you have a problem with "mathematics for mathematics' sake". Is interestingness not a value in itself? For me it certainly is, and this is the core of my argument for academic/high-IQ art -- an argument which also applies to mathematics, for all that mathematics also benefits from utilitarian arguments. "Quilting for quilting's sake" as you describe it just sounds like a form of visual art, and visual art is something I would indeed fund.

Here is a way that I think our positions could be reconciled: If there were studies on the "spin offs" of funding mathematicians to pursue their intuitions (deciding who is a mathematician based on some criterion perhaps a degree in mathematics and/or a Putnam-like test), then citing those studies would be sufficient for my purposes

What would count as a successful "spin off" in your view?

Comment author: Johnicholas 25 February 2011 12:10:05PM *  2 points [-]

In your first paragraph, you have excellently made my point; the social process of mathematics depends on between-clique evaluations. To the extent that those between-clique evaluations are impossible, the social process of mathematics becomes more like clothing fashion, and mathematical goals become decoupled from engineering or science applications.

As I said previously, my criticism of "mathematics for mathematics sake" is based on an attitude of scarcity - which I admit is an attitude rather than a fact. Similarly, I would tax visual art rather than subsidize it.

Successful spin offs of mathematics would be applications of mathematics to fields that have better arguments that their work is not idle amusement, status-seeking or fashion-following.

Comment author: komponisto 25 February 2011 08:45:00PM 3 points [-]

In your first paragraph, you have excellently made my point; the social process of mathematics depends on between-clique evaluations. To the extent that those between-clique evaluations are impossible,

But they're never impossible, and of necessity they're always going on (since university positions, grant dollars, etc. are limited in number). The only question can be what criteria are being used. While it is conceivable that some fields could end up using criteria that are "arbitrary" (i.e. not ultimately correlated with fundamental values), my argument is that this is not the case in mathematics, due mainly to the strong IQ barrier to entry. (Generally, my view is that the higher someone's IQ, the more strongly impressing them is correlated with satisfying fundamental values.)

Mathematical cliques are not islands; in fact to the extent they become isolated, they lose prestige! There is a continuum of relatedness, with cliques clustering into "supercliques" of various levels. Mathematicians, particularly those with a taste for cynical humor, will joke about how it is supposedly impossible to understand the work of neighboring cliques; but the reality is that their ability to understand varies more or less continuously with distance, and more or less increases with one's rank within a clique or superclique.

To summarize, there shouldn't be much to worry about so long as status in mathematics remains correlated more strongly with IQ than with other variables such as social/political skills. (Given that they're still willing to (try to) award prizes to someone like Perelman, I'd say the field is in pretty good shape.)

As I said previously, my criticism of "mathematics for mathematics sake" is based on an attitude of scarcity - which I admit is an attitude rather than a fact. Similarly, I would tax visual art rather than subsidize it.

This is most extraordinary. Just how prosperous would we have to get before you would allow people to have tax-free fun?

Assuming you meant it literally (and not just as a signal of something else), this scares the hell out of me. It sounds like we may have practically-incompatible utility functions.

(How would that even be implemented? By paying inspectors to come to people's houses to check whether they've drawn any pictures that day? Extra sales tax on art supplies?)

Comment author: wedrifid 26 February 2011 04:34:14AM *  4 points [-]

(How would that even be implemented? By paying inspectors to come to people's houses to check whether they've drawn any pictures that day? Extra sales tax on art supplies?)

Allow the visual art industry to have all the usual taxes on goods sold, exhibition prices and education. Don't subsidise the field at all via grants or via university tax breaks. No commando raids on kindergartens to catch off-the-books, under-the-table finger painters required.

Comment author: komponisto 27 February 2011 07:50:08AM *  0 points [-]

Allow the visual art industry to have all the usual taxes on goods sold, exhibition prices and education

That's the status quo. The proposal, as I understood it, was to have additional taxes specific to art.

Comment author: gwern 28 February 2011 01:11:28AM 4 points [-]

No, the status quo is heavy subsidization. I have an essay on how there is too much art & fiction (http://www.gwern.net/Culture%20is%20not%20about%20esthetics.html) and one of my points is that the arts are heavily subsidized both directly and indirectly, which contributes to the over-supply.

Comment author: wedrifid 28 February 2011 02:56:04AM *  1 point [-]

(I had let the parent be, not wanting to emphasise disagreement but the follow up prompts a reply.)

The proposal, as I understood it, was to have additional taxes specific to art.

I do not share your interpretation. The relevant quote is:

Similarly, I would tax visual art rather than subsidize it.

... A general sentiment regarding where he would place a slider on a simplistic one dimensional scale of financial incentive vs disincentive. It is definitely not a proposal for specific intervention in any particular jurisdiction.

Come to think of it your status quo claim is way off. The following is definitely not the status quo:

Don't subsidise the field at all via grants or via university tax breaks.

Incidentally, investment in culture and education - even with respect to visual arts - is something I approve of. I just note that your questioning was rather disingenuous:

By paying inspectors to come to people's houses to check whether they've drawn any pictures that day?

Taxation and subsidisation are well understood. This objection is silly (your other soldiers are better).

Comment author: TobyBartels 27 February 2011 08:18:27AM 1 point [-]

The obvious thing would be some sort of excise tax, like the "sin taxes" on alcohol and the like. That might extend to art supplies, but not necessarily; just charge it on the sale of the final product (if you sell it).

Not that I'm for this; otherwise I agree with your reaction to the proposal.

Comment author: Johnicholas 28 February 2011 12:36:33PM -1 points [-]

Allow me to clarify: Tax art rather than subsidize it, at a roughly comparable rate to other industries. I don't think it matters much whether it's exactly the same, slightly higher, or slightly lower.

One of the techniques of rational argumentation is called the "Principle of Charity". When reading and interpreting what someone said, you should infer missing details in order to make their argument the strongest argument possible. In a lw-centric example, Eliezer's idea of "The least convenient possible world" is the principle of charity, specialized to interpreting hypothetical situations.