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TheOtherDave comments on Costs and Benefits of Scholarship - Less Wrong
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It would be startling if conformity bias didn't operate here, and I don't see much evidence that it doesn't.
That said, I don't think these are mutually exclusive. I often upvote after (IMO) unearned downvotes, and sometimes downvote after unearned upvotes, but that doesn't mean I'm not subject to the bandwagon effect.