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Nick_Tarleton comments on The Friendly AI Game - Less Wrong
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Even if it can deposit $100 with 99.9% probability without doing anything fancy, maybe it can add another .099% by using nanotech. Or by starting a nuclear war to distract anything that might get in its way (destroying the bank five minutes later, but so what). (Credit to Carl Shulman for that suggestion.)
From my estimation, all it needs to do is find out how to hack a bank. If it can't hack one bank, it can try to hack any other bank that it has access to, considering that almost all banks have more than 100 USD in them. It could even find and spread a keylogger to get someone's credit card info.
Such techniques (which are repeatable within a very short timespan, faster than humans can react) seem much more sure than using nanotech or starting a nuclear war. I don't think that distracting humans would really improve its chances of success because it's incredibly doubtful that human's could react so fast to so many different cyber-attacks.
Possible, true, but the chances of this happening seem uber-low.