gwern comments on Anki on Mac in 60 seconds - Less Wrong
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AFAIK, the Popcons all heavily anonymize their data down to 'installed or not', and don't include anything useful for clustering. (This is reasonable because with the dozens of thousands of packages and whatever power laws or distributions are involved, it'd only take a few idiosyncratic package installations to break privacy.)
So maybe clusters would be efficient enough - although keeping in mind my 5 minute rule and the point about it being very easy to search for programs, I still think it's unlikely - but currently I don't know of any way to generate them.