Kevin comments on Verifying Rationality via RationalPoker.com - Less Wrong

32 Post author: Louie 25 March 2011 04:32PM

You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.

Comments (154)

You are viewing a single comment's thread. Show more comments above.

Comment author: Kevin 26 March 2011 06:13:41AM *  3 points [-]

Statistical luck is definitely real but ontological luck isn't. Most poker players don't know the difference. I am nearly positive that I have had above average luck since I started playing regularly again in December (and I have the data recorded for me to actually calculate it, but doesn't seem worth it to figure it out if my software doesn't do it automatically).

As an example, since you replied to my comment, I rode a <1/1000 wave of luck to 5th place in a poker tournament, for a $540 win.

Comment author: Will_Newsome 26 March 2011 02:18:21PM 1 point [-]

Statistical luck is definitely real but ontological luck isn't.

Wanna bet? ;P