= 27d567bc2d48d9f40e9ccc20ea370b15)
DanielLC comments on The Difference Between Classical, Evidential, and Timeless Decision Theories - Less Wrong
You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.
= 783df68a0f980790206b9ea87794c5b6)
Loading…= b715d02e85f7b3b4ae65ca3d3e450868)
Subscribe to RSS Feed
Powered by Reddit
= f037147d6e6c911a85753b9abdedda8d)
You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.
Comments (31)
It's not Simpson's paradox. CDT just figures you can't change the past, and you might as well take advantage of that fact when making decisions.
TDT doesn't think you can change the past either. TDT behaves as if it decides the past, which it does.
Well, they'd say if you can't change it you can't decide it.
Anyway, my point is that it's not that they figure that if it's better when box A is full, and better when box A is empty, so it must be better under all the conditions. If it was that, they'd think that EDT and TDT give the same results, and would start using TDT when this error is pointed out.
The reason they do it is that they assume that the problem when box A is full, and when it's empty, are essentially two different problems. You don't know which you're in, but they have the same solution anyway. The reason EDT- and TDTists do better is that they're arbitrarily given more money, and CDTists would do better if omega decided to give extra money if you were a CDTist.