TheOtherDave comments on John Baez Interviews with Eliezer (Parts 2 and 3) - Less Wrong

7 Post author: multifoliaterose 29 March 2011 05:36PM

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Comment author: TheOtherDave 30 March 2011 04:06:53PM 0 points [-]

You raise this issue a lot, so now I'm curious how you cash it out in actual numbers:

For the sake of concreteness, call Va the value to you of 10% of your total assets at this moment. (In other words, going from your current net worth to 90% of your net worth involves a loss of Va.)

What's your estimate of the value of a positive Singularity in terms of Va?

What's your estimate of the probability (P%) of a positive Singularity at this moment?

What's your estimate of how much P% would increment by if you invested an additional 10% of your total assets at this moment in the most efficient available mechanism for incrementing P%?