Raemon comments on An Anchoring Experiment: Results - Less Wrong
You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.
You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.
Comments (21)
For me, my answers would have been incredibly varied simply because I had no idea, whatsoever.
Testing for anchoring bias regarding a quantity you were fairly certain about wouldn't yield significant results. Of course, you do have some idea--if I asked you whether the population of the Central African Republic were more or less than 7 billion people, you could confidently answer "lower."
So, like me, you had a probability distribution regarding the answer, but it was diffuse enough that the "20 million" anchor moved it upward. At least, that seems to be the case.
Congratulations on the original research, Prase!
Probably. (BTW, I'd kinda prefer if this type of article give people a chance to answer the question for themselves, to see how they did)