khafra comments on An Anchoring Experiment: Results - Less Wrong

18 Post author: prase 03 April 2011 10:48PM

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Comment author: khafra 03 April 2011 11:31:10PM 4 points [-]

Testing for anchoring bias regarding a quantity you were fairly certain about wouldn't yield significant results. Of course, you do have some idea--if I asked you whether the population of the Central African Republic were more or less than 7 billion people, you could confidently answer "lower."

So, like me, you had a probability distribution regarding the answer, but it was diffuse enough that the "20 million" anchor moved it upward. At least, that seems to be the case.

Congratulations on the original research, Prase!

Comment author: Raemon 04 April 2011 12:01:10AM 0 points [-]

So, like me, you had a probability distribution regarding the answer, but it was diffuse enough that the "20 million" anchor moved it upward. At least, that seems to be the case.

Probably. (BTW, I'd kinda prefer if this type of article give people a chance to answer the question for themselves, to see how they did)