Wilka comments on Just Try It: Quantity Trumps Quality - Less Wrong
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I can almost swear that I was reading a post in the sequences where a statement was made to the effect that "If you already know where you think you'll end up on a decision/analysis/estimation, you should just head in that direction."
Does this ring any bells? I'd like to re-find that and have googled for it many, many ways and never found it again. It seems similar to the idea here, and thus I thought I'd ask for help here in finding it -- I really would like to read it again!
Maybe it was "Once you can guess what your answer will be, you have probably already decided." from Hold Off On Proposing Solutions