prase comments on Popperian Decision making - Less Wrong

-1 Post author: curi 07 April 2011 06:42AM

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Comment author: Matt_Simpson 07 April 2011 07:56:33AM *  1 point [-]

There is no "correct" or "incorrect" subjective probability, just predictably doing worse than possible to different degrees.

There is a correct P(T0|X) where X is your entire state of information. Probabilities aren't strictly speaking subjective, they're subjectively objective.

Comment author: FAWS 07 April 2011 08:35:06AM *  1 point [-]

"Subjectively objective" just means that trying to do the best you can doesn't leave any room for choice. You can argue that you aren't really talking about probabilities if you knowingly do worse than you could, but that's just a matter of semantics.