hairyfigment comments on Popperian Decision making - Less Wrong

-1 Post author: curi 07 April 2011 06:42AM

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Comment author: hairyfigment 10 April 2011 04:44:59AM 0 points [-]

I'm not sure what you're suggesting I do instead.

Tell us what you think your tool does better, in some area where we see a problem with Bayes. (And I do mean Bayes' Theorem as a whole, not a part of it taken out of context.)

Show it how? I can conjecture it. Got a criticism?

Seems like any process that leads to harmful priors can also produce a criticism of your position as you've explained it so far. As I mentioned before, the Consistent Gambler's Fallacy would lead us to criticize any theory that has worked in the past.