FWIW I already knew everything you said here.
And yet I acted as I did anyway. For what I deem to be rational reasons. Which I knew in advance, and did not create afterwards as an excuse. And I also knew in advance that I could use other styles if I wanted -- I have done so and am in fact currently doing so at other places.
I wonder, how do you explain that? Do you think I might know something you don't? Do you think you might be wrong about some aspect of this?
http://vimeo.com/22099396
What do people think of this, from a Bayesian perspective?
It is a talk given to the Oxford Transhumanists. Their previous speaker was Eliezer Yudkowsky. Audio version and past talks here: http://groupspaces.com/oxfordtranshumanists/pages/past-talks