Unfortunately, this attitude and your decision to put this in main rather than the discussion section is getting it downvoted. That will likely continue.
It didn't. It made it back up to a score of 0.
Learn anything? Or since you only said "likely" will you say that your prediction isn't contradicted by the result. Is never actually being contradicted by evidence one of the main appeals of only saying stuff is likely instead of conjecturing that it's true?
As far as I know, the minimum possible karma is zero; scores below that are, IIRC, displayed as zero.
http://vimeo.com/22099396
What do people think of this, from a Bayesian perspective?
It is a talk given to the Oxford Transhumanists. Their previous speaker was Eliezer Yudkowsky. Audio version and past talks here: http://groupspaces.com/oxfordtranshumanists/pages/past-talks