assuming you don't care that people comment on your reputation. (Wish I could cite that comment but I don't think I can find it again...)
I saw several comments like that. I vaguely recall replying to one asking what my reputation is, since he hadn't specified.
http://vimeo.com/22099396
What do people think of this, from a Bayesian perspective?
It is a talk given to the Oxford Transhumanists. Their previous speaker was Eliezer Yudkowsky. Audio version and past talks here: http://groupspaces.com/oxfordtranshumanists/pages/past-talks