timtyler comments on David Deutsch on How To Think About The Future - Less Wrong

4 Post author: curi 11 April 2011 07:08AM

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Comment author: timtyler 15 April 2011 02:21:50PM * 0 points [-]

Martin Rees is misrepresented 4:04 in. What Rees actually said was:

the odds are no better than 50-50 that our present civilisation on Earth will survive to the end of the present century without a serious setback'

...whatever a "serious setback" is supposed to mean.

Comment author: vallinder 14 July 2011 05:56:07PM 1 point [-]

Do you have a reference for that? My copy of Our Final Hour contains the same sentence minus "without a serious setback".

Comment author: timtyler 14 July 2011 10:35:07PM * 1 point [-]

Our Final Century, page 8 line 4.

It seems as though Rees - rather confusingly - said different things on the topic in Our Final Century and Our Final Hour.

Comment author: vallinder 18 July 2011 10:52:06AM 1 point [-]

Ah, that's interesting. Thanks for clarifying.