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TheOtherDave comments on We are not living in a simulation - Less Wrong
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Comments (211)
Huh. Confidence interval?
I totally endorse that, and I'm pretty good about it myself (at least, I think I am), but I'd be very surprised if it ever became a reliable LW community norm.
It's pretty uncalibrated but let's say 90% confidence interval of 2 months to 2 years.
Upvoted for being willing to put numbers to it. I'll never remember to come back and check, though.