jimrandomh comments on Gödel and Bayes: quick question - Less Wrong

1 Post author: hairyfigment 14 April 2011 06:12AM

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Comment author: jimrandomh 14 April 2011 12:09:06PM 1 point [-]

So, can we or can't we write a mathematically meaningful version of the statement, "This statement has less than .5 probability within the system"?

That would lead to a self-containing set, which is infinite. Infinite sets are allowed only if they're approached by a convergent limiting expression, which is not given here, so Bayesian statistics of the E.T. Jaynes variety would not assign that statement a probability at all.

Comment author: DanielLC 14 April 2011 05:39:59PM 4 points [-]

Gödel's sentence doesn't use a self-containing set. This is supposed to work the same.