Vladimir_Nesov comments on Specific Fiction Discusion (April 2011) - Less Wrong
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Comments (158)
The "Feeling Pinkie Keen" episode may be fun to analyze from a rationalist/Bayesian perspective. Was Twilight Sparkle being rational to jump based on Pinkie Pie's sense at the end? What would have to be the priors at the beginning of the episode for it to be the correct decision at the end, after all the accumulated evidence? :-)
Semi relevant; I posted the following LWish thing in a discussion thread on a forum:
(Please note that this was not written for LW, so therefore I were sloppy and also oversimplifying things due to inferential distance.)