fortyeridania comments on The Bias You Didn't Expect - Less Wrong

92 Post author: Psychohistorian 14 April 2011 04:20PM

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Comment author: fortyeridania 23 October 2011 12:27:55PM 2 points [-]

Very few judicial decisions are actually made entirely during a hearing

Doesn't this strongly cut against the theory that the degree of hunger at the time of the hearing influences the decision?

Comment author: gwern 23 October 2011 02:34:18PM 4 points [-]

The Israeli parole result was for a short single high-stakes decision; most hearings are not like that, I think.

Comment author: Psychohistorian 30 October 2011 08:34:38PM 4 points [-]

The Israeli parole result was for a short single high-stakes decision; most hearings are not like that, I think.

... is the exact response I wanted to make.

Most legal choices are either incredibly short term - like an objection that a judge must often respond to immediately - or medium to long term - like a motion that a judge will ask for parties to provide briefs (written legal arguments) on. Parole hearing like this are one a few legal decisions where there really is a quick decision made - another area would be bail hearings, but there the outcome isn't binary, it's a dollar amount. There isn't much money to be made in gaming either,.

Comment author: AspiringRationalist 11 October 2012 12:30:55AM -1 points [-]

No. The study was specifically on parole decisions, which often are made at the time of the hearing, although other judicial decisions generally aren't.