paulfchristiano comments on Say More, Justify Less - Less Wrong

19 Post author: paulfchristiano 14 April 2011 10:41PM

You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.

Comments (25)

You are viewing a single comment's thread. Show more comments above.

Comment author: paulfchristiano 15 April 2011 01:35:05AM 1 point [-]

Why do you expect this to happen?

I suspect that for any given event, some people are better at predicting it than others. For example, in the case of UI design it is definitely the case that some people are much better than others at predicting what will do well in an A/B test. If such people are scarce, learning to predict their predictions is a good substitute for learning to predict the results of A/B tests themselves. (The real question in this situation is whether the overhead of prediction could be low enough for this to matter.)