paulfchristiano comments on Say More, Justify Less - Less Wrong

19 Post author: paulfchristiano 14 April 2011 10:41PM

You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.

Comments (25)

You are viewing a single comment's thread. Show more comments above.

Comment author: paulfchristiano 15 April 2011 12:56:00PM 0 points [-]

I am not suggesting that prediction is the filter. Predictions of a certain kind (will policy change X be good or bad for the organization? Should we use our funds in this way or that way?) are a necessary part of doing business. If you want to know what is wrong with an animal who has come into a clinic, you want a prediction (either about the results of examinations, or about responses to treatment). Somehow an organization needs to make that prediction: it can give the authority to one person, it can let several people argue about it, etc.