roland comments on No, Seriously. Just Try It. - Less Wrong

48 Post author: lukeprog 20 April 2011 04:11PM

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Comment author: roland 12 January 2012 11:19:40PM 1 point [-]

To cure his insomnia, Seth Roberts tried exercise, calcium supplements, and adjusting the lamps near his bed. In the end what worked was delaying his breakfast until 11am.

Roberts did the same with dieting, trying an endless combination of things and weighing himself constantly. He found that drinking unflavored fructose water between meals did the trick, and he lost 35 pounds.

The crux is this, how do you generate useful/correct hypothesis? The thing is there is no guarantee that you will ever arrive at a correct hypothesis, so you might end up in an endless cycle of trial and error without getting anywhere... pretty frustrating.

Comment author: selador 12 March 2016 12:12:04PM 0 points [-]

Ah but think about an actual (habit) problem you have had and see how many courses of action you can think of. In my experience many of them will help, and so trying in order of probability is a great way to find what might help. The just try it method pivots you from a moaning/accepting of problems attitude to: I can solve this, I just don't know how. But I know how I (probably) can find out how.

Of course it is difficult to be objective enough to identify real trends...