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wedrifid comments on Mini-camp on Rationality, Awesomeness, and Existential Risk (May 28 through June 4, 2011) - Less Wrong
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Comments (84)
I assign a greater than 95% chance to you being mistaken.
Because you were accepted? ;-)
Anyway, it looks like I was indeed overconfident there -- I didn't get accepted. I'm interested in knowing who was, and how it works out.
Much can be inferred from my confidence in my model of what Jasen is looking for, an estimate of how many people applied, the relative easy of holding a thinking job, the extent to which the opportunity would appeal to people who have at some point held a thinking job, the likelyhood that thinking jobs would appeal to those likely to apply to a rationalist bootcamp and the ease of finding a new thinking job if that is necessary after the event.
So am I!
So you were or weren't accepted?
Anyway, even with all those factors, it doesn't seem to override my points above about the difficulty for such people of taking ten weeks off, or SIAI's past tendency to overlook such criteria. Very successful people who can basically set their own hours could spare the block of time, but wouldn't they already have achieved what this course has to offer?
Was, but the question dodge was deliberate!
Absolutely, I don't have an overall position to express on that one (talk to me in a few months) but your points seem valid.
I would disagree on this one. Even, say, Tim Ferris could benefit from such a program despite already being successful and having an undeniable ability to research and train himself in practical skills independently. There is a level of strategy above that required for the social phenomenon of 'success' which is both rare and (I assume) at least part of what would be covered by a boot camp.