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Larks comments on Bayesians vs. Barbarians - Less Wrong
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Imagine Omega's predictions have a 99.9% success rate, and then work out the expected gain for one-boxers vs two-boxers.
By stepping back from the issue and ignoring the 'can't change the contents now' issue, you can see that one-boxers do much better than two-boxers, so as we want to maximise our expected payoff, we should become one-boxers.
Not sure if I find this convincing.
I posted that comment four or five months ago. I'm a one-boxer now, haha. Figure that you can either choose to always one-box or choose to pretend like you're going to one-box but actually two-box. Omega is assumed to be able to tell the difference, so the first option makes more sense.