pjeby comments on Bayesians vs. Barbarians - Less Wrong
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From the USMC Warfighting Doctrine manual, pp. 62-63 (PDF pages 64-65):
(Believe it or not, I didn't add any emphases to the above: the italicized phrases are that way in the original!)
Now, the USMC warfighting doctrine is specifically intended for state-vs-state warfare, so one may take it with a grain of salt as to whether it's suitable for dealing with a barbarian horde or other guerrillas. But, at least it's some non-fictional evidence. ;-)