CronoDAS comments on Bayesians vs. Barbarians - Less Wrong

51 Post author: Eliezer_Yudkowsky 14 April 2009 11:45PM

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Tags: cooperation institutions military_art

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Comment author: Strange7 26 March 2011 09:27:28PM *  3 points [-]

I still can't figure this out. Faced with the choice between leaving, having learned nothing, and continuing to lose karma for every damn post I make, what does your model recommend?

Comment author: saturn 26 March 2011 10:52:42PM 4 points [-]

Say you start out with 100 pilots. You have two options:

  1. Send all 100 pilots to Japan with full fuel tanks. 25 make it back alive.
  2. Send 50 pilots to Japan with twice as many bombs. 0 make it back, but 50 are still alive.

the military wants to recoup that cost by sending everyone they bother to train out on a certain number of missions.

No, the military just wants to accomplish its missions. If more pilots are alive after each mission, it means more pilots available for future missions.

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