Agreed.
The whole Bayesian being an ultra-rational agent and any deviation on the part of humans is a sign of irrationality has been moved away from by some economists. Now some think that humans are rational and the trick is to figure out how what appears irrational at first glance can be considered rational. This because the model for rationality didn't give very many useful results outside of gambling and playing stocks, even then people have gotten burned by it.
Much of it comes down to limited information and variable time preferences.
I think you misunderstood my point. I meant that the behavior of these people may well have been rational, or at least not remarkably irrational, by the standard economic definition of the term, i.e. in the sense of advancing one's own self-interest.
Even if you're responsible for a failure with large total costs, this may still advance your self-interest if the benefit you derive from it is larger than the share of the costs you have to bear yourself (plus of course the future reputational and other indirect costs, of course). It seems to me this may have been the case in both examples from the original post, so it's unjustified to parade them as obvious examples of irrational behavior.
Today's post, Just Lose Hope Already, was originally published on 25 February 2007. A summary (taken from the LW wiki):
Discuss the post here (rather than in the comments to the original post).
This post is part of the Rerunning the Sequences series, where we'll be going through Eliezer Yudkowsky's old posts in order so that people who are interested can (re-)read and discuss them. The previous post was Politics is the Mind-Killer, and you can use the sequence_reruns tag or rss feed to follow the rest of the series.
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