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Rain comments on SIAI - An Examination - Less Wrong
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You're using a different definition of "friendly" than I am. An 80% chance SIAI's AI is Unfriendly already contains all of your "takes over but messes everything up in unpredictable ways" scenarios.
The numbers were exaggerated for effect, to show contrast and my thought process. It seems to me that you think the probabilities are reversed.