XFrequentist comments on [link] Bruce Schneier on Cognitive Biases in Risk Analysis - Less Wrong

8 Post author: alexflint 03 May 2011 06:37PM

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Comment author: XFrequentist 04 May 2011 06:14:17PM *  0 points [-]

Thanks, interesting!

I've been thinking about writing an article on risk assessment as a worthwhile field of study or source of tools for LWers. The upshot is that it offers a pretty good rationality toolbox and there are lots of jobs, but it's suboptimal in some important ways.

I took a course on health risk assessment and it came pretty close to being Rationality 101 - covered the gamut from probability theory to expected utility to cognitive biases.

ETA: Googling something else returned this, which I hadn't read but is presents an excellent example of the kind of thing I mean by "suboptimal".