rwallace comments on Sleeping Beauty gets counterfactually mugged - Less Wrong

1 Post author: Stuart_Armstrong 26 March 2009 11:44AM

You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.

Comments (23)

You are viewing a single comment's thread. Show more comments above.

Comment author: rwallace 26 March 2009 11:17:02PM 4 points [-]

Recall, however, that the objective is not to be someone who would do well in fictional game theory scenarios, but someone who does well in real life.

So one answer is that real life people don't suddenly emigrate to a distant galaxy after one transaction.

But the deeper answer is that it's not just the negative consequences of breaking one promise, but of being someone who has a policy of breaking promises whenever it superficially appears useful.