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nazgulnarsil comments on People who want to save the world - Less Wrong
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Good post, but this gave me pause. Does LW / do you really think that IQ is the relevant factor here?
Is everyone at SIAI in the triple nines cut off? (IQ in the 99.9 percentile)
For these eleven ... maybe. Much more likely than 10^-33 for eleven average or random people. My guess is yes, but they may just be good at presenting their credentials.
Sure, it's a higher chance, but I'd still say it's pretty improbable - my understanding is that IQ isn't that great.