gwern comments on [LINK] Two articles on Bitcoin - Less Wrong

4 Post author: David_Gerard 16 May 2011 02:36PM

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Comment author: gwern 16 May 2011 04:38:53PM 1 point [-]

Calacanis makes some pretty strong predictions. I recorded one at http://predictionbook.com/predictions/2686

Comment author: David_Gerard 16 May 2011 09:36:13PM 1 point [-]

Which governments? How many governments? It looks like a strong prediction but it's actually made of weasels.

Comment author: gwern 16 May 2011 10:28:54PM 1 point [-]

Any sovereign government or subsection thereof. I don't think we need to worry about whether Sealand or Vatican City banning bitcoins counts. And how many? He says governments, as in, more than 1. This prediction is no less precise than the vast majority on preditionbook.com, most of which can be closed fairly uncontroversially without debating what the meaning of 'is' is.