snarles comments on Colonization models: a tutorial on computational Bayesian inference (part 2/2) - Less Wrong

19 Post author: snarles 17 May 2011 03:54AM

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Comment author: snarles 17 May 2011 04:13:55PM *  0 points [-]

Currently thinking about the best way to get the credibility regions/MAP estimates.

If anyone wants to do a serious analysis using this type of simulation model, it's possible to code a much more efficient and elegant simulation by making use of continuous time--having the data structure store times and locations of events rather than discrete snapshots. However, the continuous-time model would be harder to tinker with, so I opted for the more transparent discrete-time model for this tutorial.

Comment author: Cyan 18 May 2011 01:14:38AM 1 point [-]

The package "feature" on CRAN does multivariate density estimation. You might be able to use that for MAP estimation by running it on the posterior samples, and it also might be useful for HPD credible regions.