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STL comments on Living Forever is Hard, or, The Gompertz Curve - Less Wrong

46 Post author: gwern 17 May 2011 09:08PM

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Comment author: [deleted] 19 May 2011 12:14:19PM 3 points [-]

If the studies were done 20 years ago my guess is that the original trials were performed to see if aspirin reduced the risk of heart attacks.

Yes. The study's full text said: "We therefore determined the effect of aspirin on risk of fatal cancer by analysis of individual patient data for deaths due to cancer during randomised trials of daily aspirin versus control (done originally for primary or secondary prevention of vascular events) in which the median duration of scheduled trial treatment was at least 4 years."

There should be effective cures and preventative measures long before they are at significant risk.

Hope is not a plan.

Comment author: gwillen 09 June 2011 10:09:29PM 1 point [-]

Hope is not a plan.

I don't know if this is original, but it reminds me of the unofficial motto of Google's Site Reliability Engineering organization: "Hope is not a strategy."

Comment author: PhilGoetz 23 December 2011 04:46:20AM 1 point [-]

First I heard this phrase was a book by the Army chief of staff: Hope is not a method.

Comment author: Baughn 22 October 2011 01:25:24PM 0 points [-]

Hm? No, that's about as official as we have.