A certain skill set is required in order to employ mental prostheses such as written-down equations, computer programs, and the like. Without the prosthesis of writing, it would likely have been impossible to eventually prove Fermat's Last Theorem. Without a computer program to do an exhaustive search of possible cases, it might have been humanly impossible to prove the four-color theorem. Ink on paper acts as a kind of memory, and also acts as a kind of attention span, or as an attention span prosthesis.
There may not be any upper bound on what can be remembered, on the length of one's effective attention span, once one is using these and other prostheses.
But it requires a certain minimal skill set in order to begin to make use of these external prostheses. Many humans, especially those who are born with conditions that limit their native intelligence, may be unable to acquire that skill set.
So that threshold that Egan writes about may lie somewhere inside the human race, with some humans above the threshold, and others below. I.e., the threshold he refers to here:
I believe that humans have already crossed a threshold that, in a certain sense, puts us on an equal footing with any other being who has mastered abstract reasoning.
Abstract reasoning is built on the manipulation of symbols, so it will be limited to those humans who have the ability to manipulate symbols with some degree of reliability - enough to get them from one equation to the next. But once a human is able to get from one equation to the next, he can in principle follow (line by line) a proof of arbitrary length, even with a finite memory that can hold only a few equations at one time.
In this post I question one disagreement between Eliezer Yudkowsky and science fiction author Greg Egan.
In his post Complex Novelty, Eliezer Yudkowsky wrote in 2008:
An interview with Greg Egan in 2009 confirmed this to be true:
The theoretical computer scientist Scott Aaronson wrote in a post titled 'The Singularity Is Far':
An argument that is often mentioned is the relatively small difference between chimpanzees and humans. But that huge effect, increase in intelligence, rather seems like an outlier and not the rule. Take for example the evolution of echolocation, it seems to have been a gradual progress with no obvious quantum leaps. The same can be said about eyes and other features exhibited by biological agents that are an effect of natural evolution.
Is it reasonable to assume that such quantum leaps are the rule, based on a single case study? Are there other animals that are vastly more intelligent than their immediate predecessors?
What reason do we have to believe that a level above that of a standard human, that is as incomprehensible to us as higher mathematics is to chimps, does exist at all? And even if such a level is possible, what reason do we have to believe that artificial general intelligence could consistently uplift itself to a level that is incomprehensible to its given level?
To be clear, I do not doubt the possibility of superhuman AI or EM's. I do not doubt the importance of "friendliness"-research and that it will have to be solved before we invent (discover?) superhuman AI. But I lack the expertise to conclude that there are levels of comprehension that are not even fathomable in principle.
In Complexity and Intelligence, Eliezer wrote:
If we were able to specify the laws of physics and one of the effects of their computation would turn out to be superhuman intelligence that is incomprehensible to us, what would be the definition of 'incomprehensible' in this context?
I can imagine quite a few possibilities of how a normal human being can fail to comprehend the workings of another being. One example can be found in the previously mentioned article by Scott Aaronson:
Mr. Aaronson also provides another fascinating example in an unrelated post ('The T vs. HT (Truth vs. Higher Truth) problem'):
Those two examples provide evidence for the possibility that even beings who are fundamentally on the same level might yet fail to comprehend each other.
An agent might simply be more knowledgeable or lack certain key insights. Conceptual revolutions are intellectually and technologically enabling to the extent that they seemingly spawn quantum leaps in the ability to comprehend certain problems.
Faster access to more information, the upbringing, education, or cultural and environmental differences and dumb luck might also intellectually remove agents with similar potentials from each other to an extent that they appear to reside on different levels. But even the smartest humans are dwarfs standing on the shoulders of giants. Sometimes the time is simply ripe, thanks to the previous discoveries of unknown unknowns.
As mentioned by Scott Aaronson, the ability to think faster, but also the possibility to think deeper by storing more data in one's memory, might cause the appearance of superhuman intelligence and incomprehensible insight.
Yet all of the above merely hints at the possibility that human intelligence can be amplified and that we can become more knowledgeable. But with enough time, standard humans could accomplish the same.
What would it mean for an intelligence to be genuinely incomprehensible? Where do Eliezere Yudkowsky and Greg Egan disagree?