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Will_Newsome comments on Metacontrarian Metaethics - Less Wrong
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My favorite realist injection into the trolley problem is that there will be far more uncertainty: you won't know that the fat man will stop the trolley. I keep picturing someone tipping the poor guy over, watching him fall and break a few legs, moaning in agony, and then get mowed down by the trolley, which continues on its merry way and kills the children tied to the tracks regardless.
Ha. I like Steve's version better though, since you can assume away all the environmental uncertainty leaving just indexical uncertainty (the distinction doesn't really exist but bear with me), and yet people still can't just go "LCPW!", because this version is both way less convenient and more probable. I bet it'd still annoy the hell out of a real philosopher, though.