jsalvatier comments on How To Be More Confident... That You're Wrong - Less Wrong

24 Post author: Wei_Dai 22 May 2011 11:30PM

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Comment author: jsalvatier 23 May 2011 05:34:30AM *  2 points [-]

Nice topic.

Is there a straightforward way to do 2 so that you recommend others attempt it, or are you relating something you've experienced and found reduced your confidence in general?

Perhaps 2 is a special case of "find something that you can generate a feeling of high confidence but where you will subsequently be wrong with high probability". You might interpret this as "experience being a crank".