quantropy comments on Rationality case study: How to evaluate untested medical procedures? - Less Wrong

7 Post author: jimrandomh 28 May 2011 11:17AM

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Comment author: rhollerith_dot_com 28 May 2011 03:58:12PM 1 point [-]

Interesting. (Please do not continue to search for refs, but I'd be interested in any tidbits of how you came to the knowledge, e.g., "I read papers on medical procedures as part of my job".)

I am in the first category: I'd accept a 70% risk of death to have the kind of health I would have had if I'd never contracted Lyme disease.

Comment author: quantropy 28 May 2011 04:53:40PM 0 points [-]

I'm not sure how I came to know this - I think I first heard of it over 30 years ago. I've probably read a number of books about risk since then, some of which may have also mentioned the bimodal distribution, but I'm afraid I can't remember one.

Comment author: rhollerith_dot_com 28 May 2011 06:27:36PM 0 points [-]

Thanks.

I am now curious in what other traits or values correlate with someone's place in this bimodal distribution.

Comment author: quantropy 28 May 2011 08:32:21PM 0 points [-]

I still haven't been able to find any of the early research which I remember, but searching for "standard gamble" on google brings up lots of related results