Wei_Dai comments on A Defense of Naive Metaethics - Less Wrong
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Where do you get "is probably right" from? I don't think you can get that if you take an outside view and consider how often a human brain is right when it reports on philosophical matters in a similar state of confusion...
Salt to taste, the specific estimate is irrelevant to my point, so long as the brain is seen as collecting at least some moral information, and not defining the whole of morality. The level of certainty in brain's moral judgment won't be stellar, but more reliable for simpler judgments. Here, I referred "morally relevant", which is a rather weak matter-of-priority kind of judgment, as opposed to deciding which of the given options are better.