Perplexed comments on How not to move the goalposts - Less Wrong

4 Post author: HopeFox 12 June 2011 03:45PM

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Comment author: cousin_it 12 June 2011 09:12:03PM *  16 points [-]

differences (between the sexes) in engineering aptitude in the general population says nothing about differences in engineering skill among people who have already been hired as engineers

I think Bayes would disagree a little :-) If your prior says blue weasels are generally better at C++ than red weasels, then a red weasel's high test score is more likely to be a random fluke than a blue weasel's equally high score.

ETA: it seems Robin made a similar point a while ago and got crucified for it because he didn't use weasels!

Comment author: Perplexed 12 June 2011 11:44:35PM 1 point [-]

I agree with Robin's point. But completing 4 years of Engineering school and then getting hired is a bit different than scoring high on a single test. I stand by my italicized nothing as mild hyperbole. Milder, in fact, than "crucified".