Perplexed comments on How not to move the goalposts - Less Wrong
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Comments (71)
I think Bayes would disagree a little :-) If your prior says blue weasels are generally better at C++ than red weasels, then a red weasel's high test score is more likely to be a random fluke than a blue weasel's equally high score.
ETA: it seems Robin made a similar point a while ago and got crucified for it because he didn't use weasels!
I agree with Robin's point. But completing 4 years of Engineering school and then getting hired is a bit different than scoring high on a single test. I stand by my italicized nothing as mild hyperbole. Milder, in fact, than "crucified".