pjeby comments on Malice, Stupidity, or Egalité Irréfléchie? - Less Wrong
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Comments (62)
Your mom's advice only makes sense if your goal is to be average, because being a member of said group will make it difficult to do any better than average.
It's also an example of status-quo bias, because she's defining "reality" as whatever "average" people believe... but the type of people she considers "average" is itself determined by her pre-existing beliefs.
In other words, if you taboo "average", you find that the advice is really saying, "don't change, because you won't fit in with my group any more"!
(That is, it's exactly what we'd expect someone faced with a changing ally would say.)
I said "seek out peer groups in which their desired/target behaviors are normal".
In other words, the presupposition is that you've already come to the conclusion that you want to have those beliefs or behaviors, because you evaluated them before choosing to participate in the group in question.
But it nonetheless beats the crap out of the article's hypothesis, which posits an entirely new piece of machinery, rather than falling naturally out of existing theory (i.e humans are motivated by status and alliances, behavior signals likely alliances or changes of alliance, etc.).
AFAICT, nothing I've said in the explanation proposes any new instincts, machinery, or inclinations that aren't already textbook ev. psych. IOW, based on what we know so far, my explanation should be what we should predict even if we didn't already know people did this sort of thing.
Ah, there's the kicker. I thought her advice was good, but I had never realized that I could check out groups' behaviors in order to see if they're good or bad, rather than just blindly joining a group and hoping it's a good one. This should change my behavior in the future.