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Normal_Anomaly comments on Model Uncertainty, Pascalian Reasoning and Utilitarianism - Less Wrong
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I'm afraid my past few comments have been confused. I don't know as much about my utility function as I wish I did. I think I am allowed to assign positive utility to a change in my utility function, and if so then I want my utility function to be linear in DALYs. It probably is not so already.
I think we may be talking past each other (or else I'm confused). My question for you is whether you would (or wish you would) sacrifice 1 DALY in order to have a 1 in 10^50 chance of creating 1+10^50 DALYs. And if so, then why?
(If my questions are becoming tedious then feel free to ignore them.)
I don't trust questions involving numbers that large and/or probabilities that small, but I think so, yes.
Probably good not to trust such number =). But can you share any reasoning or intuition for why the answer is yes?