Normal_Anomaly comments on Model Uncertainty, Pascalian Reasoning and Utilitarianism - Less Wrong

23 Post author: multifoliaterose 14 June 2011 03:19AM

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Comment author: Normal_Anomaly 16 June 2011 07:52:46PM 0 points [-]

My question for you is whether you would (or wish you would) sacrifice 1 DALY in order to have a 1 in 10^50 chance of creating 1+10^50 DALYs. And if so, then why?

I don't trust questions involving numbers that large and/or probabilities that small, but I think so, yes.

Comment author: jsteinhardt 16 June 2011 08:21:24PM 0 points [-]

Probably good not to trust such number =). But can you share any reasoning or intuition for why the answer is yes?

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