RichardKennaway comments on When is further research needed? - Less Wrong

0 Post author: RichardKennaway 17 June 2011 03:01PM

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Comment author: RichardKennaway 17 June 2011 07:44:40PM 0 points [-]

I think it is true. I don't see whatever problem you see.

Comment author: CuSithBell 18 June 2011 02:05:56AM -2 points [-]

As you indicated, the information assumed in the proof is not assumed in your gloss.

Perhaps it should read something like, "the expected difference in the expected value of a choice upon learning information about the choice, when you are aware of the reliability of the information, is non-negative," but pithier?

Because it seems that if I have a lottery ticket with a 1-in-1000000 chance of paying out $1000000, before I check whether I won, going to redeem it has an expected value of $1, but I expect that if I check whether I have won, this value will decrease.

Comment author: RichardKennaway 19 June 2011 03:55:41PM *  2 points [-]

Perhaps it should read something like, [omitted], but pithier?

"The prior expected value of new information is non-negative."

But summaries leave out details. That is what makes them summaries.