"What is missing for the SIAI to actually start working on friendly AI?"
The biggest problem in designing FAI is that nobody knows how to build AI. If you don't know how to build an AI, it's hard to figure out how to make it friendly. It's like thinking about how to make a computer play chess well before anybody knows how to make a computer.
In the meantime, there's lots of pre-FAI work to be done. There are many unsolved problems in metaethics, decision theory, anthropics, cosmology, and other subjects that seem to be highly relevant to later FAI development. I'm currently working (with others) toward defining those problems so that they can be engaged by the wider academic community.
If you don't know how to build an AI, it's hard to figure out how to make it friendly.
(You don't make an AI friendly. You make a Friendly AI. Making an AI friendly is like making a text file good reading.)
One of the reasons that I am skeptical of contributing money to the SIAI is that I simply don't know what they would do with more money. The SIAI currently seems to be viable. Another reason is that I believe that an empirical approach is required, that we need to learn more about the nature of intelligence before we can even attempt to solve something like friendly AI.
I bring this up because I just came across an old post (2007) on the SIAI blog:
Some questions:
I also have some questions regarding the hiring of experts. Is there a way to figure out what exactly the current crew is working on in terms of friendly AI research? Peter de Blanc seems to be the only person who has done some actual work related to artificial intelligence.
I am aware that preparatory groundwork has to be done and capital has to be raised. But why is there no timeline? Why is there no progress report? What is missing for the SIAI to actually start working on friendly AI? The Singularity Institute is 10 years old, what is planned for the decade ahead?