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Bongo comments on Observed Pascal's Mugging - Less Wrong
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Doesn't it not decrease at all? After all, 3^^^^3 people get tortured is more likely than m people get tortured where m is some complicated integer between 0 and 3^^^^3 admitting no short description.
It doesn't monotonically decrease but, for any probability p, there exists a number of people m such that the probability of n people get tortured, for any n > m, is less than p.