alexflint comments on Rationality Quotes July 2011 - Less Wrong
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On the contrary, in the absence of the time, resources, or inclination to completely retrace a person's reasoning, psychological factors (such as whether the result is desirable to the person in question) are indeed relevant to the probability that the person made a mistake since in general
P(made mistake | result is appealing) != P(made mistake | result not appealing)