= 27d567bc2d48d9f40e9ccc20ea370b15)
CarlShulman comments on Outline of possible Singularity scenarios (that are not completely disastrous) - Less Wrong
You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.
= 783df68a0f980790206b9ea87794c5b6)
Loading…= b715d02e85f7b3b4ae65ca3d3e450868)
Subscribe to RSS Feed
Powered by Reddit
= f037147d6e6c911a85753b9abdedda8d)
You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.
Comments (40)
The fact that they are complementary doesn't exclude the possibility that one could occur earlier than the other. For example do you think there is negligible chance that genetic engineering or pharmaceuticals could significantly improve human intelligence before machine intelligence gets very far off the ground? Or that roughly baseline humans could create (or stumble onto) a recursively-improving AI?
On the other hand, the "too close to call" case does seem to deserve it's own category, so I've added one. Thanks!
Embryo selection technology already exists, all that's needed is knowledge of the relevant alleles to select for, which should be forthcoming shortly given falling sequencing costs. Within 30 years we should see the first grown-up offspring of such selection. The effect will be greatly amplified if stem cell technology makes it possible to produce viable gametes from stem cells, which the Hinxton report estimates to be within a decade too.